New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts
The Footlab model makes New England Revolution the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Orlando City SC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate New England Revolution (1,771) and Orlando City SC (1,814).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, New England Revolution have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Orlando City SC have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | DC United(away) | 3-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Toronto FC(away) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Houston Dynamo(home) | 0-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 1, 2026 | CF Montreal(away) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Atlanta United FC(home) | 4-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chicago Fire(home) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Cincinnati(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 2-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leon(home) | 1-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Monterrey(away) | 2-1 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 New England Revolution win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Orlando City SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | New England Revolution 3-4 Orlando City SC | US Open Cup |
| Jul 19, 2025 | New England Revolution 1-2 Orlando City SC | Major League Soccer |
| May 10, 2025 | Orlando City SC 3-3 New England Revolution | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Orlando City SC 3-0 New England Revolution | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 13, 2024 | New England Revolution 1-3 Orlando City SC | Major League Soccer |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Orlando City SC 3-1 New England Revolution | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC on Apr 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
New England Revolution score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Orlando City SC score 2.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Orlando City SC | 2.2 | 2.0 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
New England Revolution sit 4th in Major League Soccer (33 points from 20 matches) and Orlando City SC sit 10th (21 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | New England Revolution | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 25 | 33 |
| 10 | Orlando City SC | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 32 | 50 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC?
- The Footlab model makes New England Revolution the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Orlando City SC.
- Where and when is New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC played?
- New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Gillette Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 18, 2026New York City FCvsNew York Red Bulls
- Sep 19, 2026San Jose EarthquakesvsLos Angeles FC
- Sep 19, 2026CF MontrealvsColumbus Crew
- Sep 19, 2026DC UnitedvsCharlotte
- Sep 20, 2026St. Louis CityvsToronto FC
- Sep 20, 2026FC DallasvsAustin
- Sep 20, 2026Houston DynamovsFC Cincinnati
- Sep 20, 2026Sporting Kansas CityvsPhiladelphia Union