Match

CF Montreal vs Columbus Crew: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Stade Saputo, Montreal, Quebec

CF MontrealColumbus Crew

The Footlab model makes CF Montreal the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Columbus Crew. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win CF Montreal vs Columbus Crew?

A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate CF Montreal (1,755) and Columbus Crew (1,849).

CF Montreal win41 %
Draw26 %
Columbus Crew win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CF Montreal have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Columbus Crew have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

CF Montreal
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Columbus Crew(away)2-1Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026DC United(home)1-1Major League Soccer
Aug 1, 2026New England Revolution(home)2-2Major League Soccer
Jul 25, 2026Inter Miami(home)0-1Major League Soccer
Jul 23, 2026Nashville SC(away)0-1Major League Soccer
Columbus Crew
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026CF Montreal(home)1-2Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026Charlotte(away)1-3Major League Soccer
Aug 11, 2026U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home)1-1Leagues Cup
Aug 7, 2026CF Pachuca(home)2-1Leagues Cup
Aug 4, 2026Atlas(home)3-1Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 CF Montreal win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Columbus Crew win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Columbus Crew 1-2 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
May 14, 2025CF Montreal 1-1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
Apr 5, 2025Columbus Crew 2-1 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
May 15, 2024CF Montreal 1-3 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
Apr 27, 2024Columbus Crew 0-0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
Oct 22, 2023Columbus Crew 2-1 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal on Aug 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

CF Montreal score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Columbus Crew score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
CF Montreal1.61.348/158/15
Columbus Crew1.51.6212/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

CF Montreal sit 14th in Major League Soccer (20 points from 20 matches) and Columbus Crew sit 12th (20 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Columbus Crew205510283320
14CF Montreal205510273720

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for CF Montreal vs Columbus Crew?
The Footlab model makes CF Montreal the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Columbus Crew.
Where and when is CF Montreal vs Columbus Crew played?
CF Montreal vs Columbus Crew is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Saputo, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: CF Montreal and Columbus Crew

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