CF Montreal vs Columbus Crew: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Stade Saputo, Montreal, Quebec
The Footlab model makes CF Montreal the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Columbus Crew. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CF Montreal vs Columbus Crew?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate CF Montreal (1,755) and Columbus Crew (1,849).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CF Montreal have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Columbus Crew have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Columbus Crew(away) | 2-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | DC United(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 1, 2026 | New England Revolution(home) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Inter Miami(home) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Nashville SC(away) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | CF Montreal(home) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Charlotte(away) | 1-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 11, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | CF Pachuca(home) | 2-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Atlas(home) | 3-1 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 CF Montreal win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Columbus Crew win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Columbus Crew 1-2 CF Montreal | Major League Soccer |
| May 14, 2025 | CF Montreal 1-1 Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Columbus Crew 2-1 CF Montreal | Major League Soccer |
| May 15, 2024 | CF Montreal 1-3 Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Columbus Crew 0-0 CF Montreal | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Columbus Crew 2-1 CF Montreal | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal on Aug 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CF Montreal score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Columbus Crew score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Montreal | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Columbus Crew | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CF Montreal sit 14th in Major League Soccer (20 points from 20 matches) and Columbus Crew sit 12th (20 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Columbus Crew | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 33 | 20 |
| 14 | CF Montreal | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 37 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CF Montreal vs Columbus Crew?
- The Footlab model makes CF Montreal the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Columbus Crew.
- Where and when is CF Montreal vs Columbus Crew played?
- CF Montreal vs Columbus Crew is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Saputo, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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