Where and when is Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes played?

Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes is played on August 30, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Shell Energy Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 22Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Shell Energy Stadium, Houston, Texas

Houston Dynamo

San Jose Earthquakes

The Footlab model makes Houston Dynamo the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for San Jose Earthquakes. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes?

A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Houston Dynamo (1,852) and San Jose Earthquakes (1,762).

Houston Dynamo win56 %

Draw23 %

San Jose Earthquakes win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Houston Dynamo have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; San Jose Earthquakes have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Houston Dynamo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	St. Louis City(away)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026	Vancouver Whitecaps(away)	1-0	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Los Angeles Galaxy(home)	1-0	Major League Soccer
Aug 8, 2026	New England Revolution(away)	2-0	Major League Soccer
Aug 2, 2026	Sporting Kansas City(away)	2-0	Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Minnesota United FC(home)	1-5	Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026	Los Angeles Galaxy(away)	0-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	St. Louis City(home)	1-3	Major League Soccer
Aug 1, 2026	FC Cincinnati(away)	2-4	Major League Soccer
Jul 26, 2026	Los Angeles Galaxy(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Houston Dynamo win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 San Jose Earthquakes win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2025	Houston Dynamo 1-2 San Jose Earthquakes	Major League Soccer
May 25, 2025	San Jose Earthquakes 3-3 Houston Dynamo	Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2024	San Jose Earthquakes 0-1 Houston Dynamo	Major League Soccer
Mar 31, 2024	Houston Dynamo 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes	Major League Soccer
Jun 22, 2023	Houston Dynamo 4-1 San Jose Earthquakes	Major League Soccer
Apr 2, 2023	San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 Houston Dynamo	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes on Aug 24, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Houston Dynamo score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; San Jose Earthquakes score 1.7 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Houston Dynamo	1.7	0.7	8	6/15	7/15
San Jose Earthquakes	1.7	2.3	0	12/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Houston Dynamo sit 2nd in Major League Soccer (38 points from 21 matches) and San Jose Earthquakes sit 4th (33 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Houston Dynamo	21	12	2	7	30	26	38
4	San Jose Earthquakes	21	10	3	8	39	33	33

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes?: The Footlab model makes Houston Dynamo the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for San Jose Earthquakes.
Where and when is Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes played?: Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes is played on August 30, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Shell Energy Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.