Match

Inter Miami vs CF Montreal: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 22Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Chase Stadium, Fort Lauderdale, Florida

Inter MiamiCF Montreal

The Footlab model makes Inter Miami the favourite at 57%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for CF Montreal. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Inter Miami vs CF Montreal?

Inter Miami starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,909 vs 1,788).

Inter Miami win57 %
Draw20 %
CF Montreal win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inter Miami have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; CF Montreal have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Inter Miami
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Toronto FC(home)1-2Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026Philadelphia Union(away)2-2Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026Nashville SC(away)1-4Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026Leon(home)2-3Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026Monterrey(home)1-2Leagues Cup
CF Montreal
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Los Angeles Galaxy(home)2-2Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026Columbus Crew(away)2-1Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026DC United(home)1-1Major League Soccer
Aug 1, 2026New England Revolution(home)2-2Major League Soccer
Jul 25, 2026Inter Miami(home)0-1Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Inter Miami win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 CF Montreal win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 25, 2026CF Montreal 0-1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
Jul 5, 2025CF Montreal 1-4 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
May 28, 2025Inter Miami 4-2 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
May 11, 2024CF Montreal 2-3 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
Mar 10, 2024Inter Miami 2-3 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
May 27, 2023CF Montreal 1-0 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: CF Montreal vs Inter Miami on Jul 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Inter Miami score 2.5 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; CF Montreal score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Inter Miami2.52.2213/1512/15
CF Montreal1.71.439/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Inter Miami sit 2nd in Major League Soccer (39 points from 21 matches) and CF Montreal sit 13th (21 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Inter Miami211164494039
13CF Montreal215610293921

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Inter Miami vs CF Montreal?
The Footlab model makes Inter Miami the favourite at 57%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for CF Montreal.
Where and when is Inter Miami vs CF Montreal played?
Inter Miami vs CF Montreal is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Chase Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Inter Miami and CF Montreal

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