Match

DC United vs Los Angeles FC: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 25Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Audi Field, Washington, District of Columbia

DC UnitedLos Angeles FC

The Footlab model makes Los Angeles FC the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for DC United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win DC United vs Los Angeles FC?

Los Angeles FC starts as the favourite with a 240-point Elo edge (1,936 vs 1,696).

DC United win28 %
Draw25 %
Los Angeles FC win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, DC United have 3 wins, 9 draws and 3 defeats; Los Angeles FC have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

DC United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026New England Revolution(home)0-3Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026CF Montreal(away)1-1Major League Soccer
Aug 1, 2026Nashville SC(home)2-2Major League Soccer
Jul 25, 2026Toronto FC(home)2-1Major League Soccer
Jul 23, 2026Houston Dynamo(away)1-1Major League Soccer
Los Angeles FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Colorado Rapids(away)0-1Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026San Diego(home)0-1Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026Club Queretaro(home)1-1Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026Toluca(away)1-0Leagues Cup
Aug 6, 2026Guadalajara Chivas(home)1-1Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 DC United win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Los Angeles FC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 5, 2023DC United 2-1 Los Angeles FCFriendlies Clubs
Aug 17, 2022Los Angeles FC 1-0 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
Apr 6, 2019DC United 0-4 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
May 27, 2018Los Angeles FC 1-1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: DC United vs Los Angeles FC on Feb 5, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

DC United score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Los Angeles FC score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
DC United1.71.8211/159/15
Los Angeles FC1.41.448/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

DC United sit 9th in Major League Soccer (24 points from 20 matches) and Los Angeles FC sit 3rd (34 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Los Angeles FC211047352134
9DC United20596273324

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for DC United vs Los Angeles FC?
The Footlab model makes Los Angeles FC the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for DC United.
Where and when is DC United vs Los Angeles FC played?
DC United vs Los Angeles FC is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Audi Field, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: DC United and Los Angeles FC

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