DC United vs Los Angeles FC: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 25Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Audi Field, Washington, District of Columbia
The Footlab model makes Los Angeles FC the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for DC United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win DC United vs Los Angeles FC?
Los Angeles FC starts as the favourite with a 240-point Elo edge (1,936 vs 1,696).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, DC United have 3 wins, 9 draws and 3 defeats; Los Angeles FC have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | New England Revolution(home) | 0-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CF Montreal(away) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nashville SC(home) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Toronto FC(home) | 2-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Houston Dynamo(away) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Colorado Rapids(away) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | San Diego(home) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Club Queretaro(home) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Toluca(away) | 1-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 DC United win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Los Angeles FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2023 | DC United 2-1 Los Angeles FC | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 17, 2022 | Los Angeles FC 1-0 DC United | Major League Soccer |
| Apr 6, 2019 | DC United 0-4 Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer |
| May 27, 2018 | Los Angeles FC 1-1 DC United | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: DC United vs Los Angeles FC on Feb 5, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
DC United score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Los Angeles FC score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DC United | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Los Angeles FC | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
DC United sit 9th in Major League Soccer (24 points from 20 matches) and Los Angeles FC sit 3rd (34 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 21 | 34 |
| 9 | DC United | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for DC United vs Los Angeles FC?
- The Footlab model makes Los Angeles FC the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for DC United.
- Where and when is DC United vs Los Angeles FC played?
- DC United vs Los Angeles FC is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Audi Field, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Aug 29, 2026New York Red BullsvsPhiladelphia Union
- Aug 29, 2026Atlanta United FCvsCharlotte
- Aug 29, 2026Columbus CrewvsNew England Revolution
- Aug 29, 2026Inter MiamivsCF Montreal
- Aug 30, 2026Minnesota United FCvsOrlando City SC
- Aug 30, 2026Houston DynamovsSan Jose Earthquakes