Where and when is Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire played?

Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC) at Lumen Field, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 25Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Lumen Field, Seattle, Washington

Seattle Sounders

Chicago Fire

The Footlab model makes Chicago Fire the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Seattle Sounders. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire?

A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Seattle Sounders (1,832) and Chicago Fire (1,890).

Seattle Sounders win35 %

Draw25 %

Chicago Fire win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Seattle Sounders have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Chicago Fire have 10, 0 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Seattle Sounders
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Austin(home)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 17, 2026	Vancouver Whitecaps(home)	0-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026	Guadalajara Chivas(home)	1-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Club Queretaro(home)	3-0	Leagues Cup
Aug 6, 2026	Toluca(away)	0-3	Leagues Cup

Chicago Fire
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Orlando City SC(away)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Portland Timbers(home)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 14, 2026	Cruz Azul(away)	2-1	Leagues Cup
Aug 10, 2026	Santos Laguna(home)	3-1	Leagues Cup
Aug 7, 2026	Necaxa(home)	2-0	Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Seattle Sounders win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Chicago Fire win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 30, 2024	Seattle Sounders 2-1 Chicago Fire	Major League Soccer
Jul 17, 2022	Chicago Fire 1-0 Seattle Sounders	Major League Soccer
Jul 14, 2020	Chicago Fire 2-1 Seattle Sounders	Major League Soccer
Mar 1, 2020	Seattle Sounders 2-1 Chicago Fire	Major League Soccer
Mar 16, 2019	Chicago Fire 2-4 Seattle Sounders	Major League Soccer
Jun 24, 2018	Seattle Sounders 1-1 Chicago Fire	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire on Jun 30, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Seattle Sounders score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chicago Fire score 2.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Seattle Sounders	1.0	1.9	1	9/15	9/15
Chicago Fire	2.1	1.4	3	12/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Seattle Sounders sit 12th in Major League Soccer (24 points from 19 matches) and Chicago Fire sit 3rd (35 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Chicago Fire	19	11	2	6	36	25	35
12	Seattle Sounders	19	7	3	9	21	26	24

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire?: The Footlab model makes Chicago Fire the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Seattle Sounders.
Where and when is Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire played?: Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC) at Lumen Field, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.