Where and when is Minnesota United FC vs Orlando City SC played?

Minnesota United FC vs Orlando City SC is played on August 30, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Allianz Field, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Minnesota United FC vs Orlando City SC: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 25Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Allianz Field, Saint Paul, Minnesota

Minnesota United FC

Orlando City SC

The Footlab model makes Minnesota United FC the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Orlando City SC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Minnesota United FC vs Orlando City SC?

A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Minnesota United FC (1,805) and Orlando City SC (1,814).

Minnesota United FC win52 %

Draw23 %

Orlando City SC win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Minnesota United FC have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Orlando City SC have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Minnesota United FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Atlanta United FC(home)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Real Salt Lake(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026	Atlante FC(home)	3-1	Leagues Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Tigres UANL(away)	0-0	Leagues Cup
Aug 5, 2026	FC Juarez(home)	1-2	Leagues Cup

Orlando City SC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Chicago Fire(home)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	FC Cincinnati(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026	Atletico San Luis(home)	2-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Leon(home)	1-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 5, 2026	Monterrey(away)	2-1	Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Minnesota United FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Orlando City SC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 10, 2024	Orlando City SC 2-3 Minnesota United FC	Major League Soccer
Apr 16, 2023	Minnesota United FC 1-2 Orlando City SC	Major League Soccer
Feb 1, 2023	Orlando City SC 2-0 Minnesota United FC	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 9, 2021	Orlando City SC 3-2 Minnesota United FC	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 7, 2020	Orlando City SC 3-1 Minnesota United FC	Major League Soccer
Aug 18, 2019	Minnesota United FC 1-1 Orlando City SC	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Orlando City SC vs Minnesota United FC on Mar 10, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Minnesota United FC score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Orlando City SC score 2.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Minnesota United FC	1.1	1.5	2	11/15	8/15
Orlando City SC	2.2	2.0	2	12/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Minnesota United FC sit 11th in Major League Soccer (25 points from 20 matches) and Orlando City SC sit 10th (21 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Orlando City SC	20	6	3	11	32	50	21
11	Minnesota United FC	20	6	7	7	22	28	25

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Minnesota United FC vs Orlando City SC?: The Footlab model makes Minnesota United FC the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Orlando City SC.
Where and when is Minnesota United FC vs Orlando City SC played?: Minnesota United FC vs Orlando City SC is played on August 30, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Allianz Field, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.