Comoros vs Congo: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationQualification - 3Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Bingu National Stadium, Lilongwe
The Footlab AI model makes Comoros the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Congo. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Comoros vs Congo?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Comoros (1,471) and Congo (1,409).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Comoros vs Congo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Comoros
4-1-4-1- 13A. Ahmed
- 6I. Mohamed
- 18Y. Bourhane
- 28Z. Youssouf
- 26K. Hadji
- 7H. Zakouani
- 3A. Abdallah
- 15B. Youssouf
- 29W. Omari
- 4K. Toibibou
- 16Y. Pandor
Congo
4-2-3-1- 9C. Ibayi
- 7G. Makouta
- 10M. Ndockyt
- 15W. Hondermarck
- 21Y. Ikia Dimi
- 8C. Massanga
- 4C. Makosso
- 14B. Mazikou
- 17Y. Andzouana
- 18M. Poaty
- 16M. Zinga
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 11:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Comoros have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Congo have 1, 6 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Senegal(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Namibia(home) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Cameroon(away) | 1-3 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Equatorial Guinea(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Kazakhstan(away) | 0-1 | FIFA Series |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Cameroon(home) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Namibia(away) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Morocco(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Niger(away) | 1-3 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Tanzania(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
How many goals should we expect?
Comoros score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Congo score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comoros | 1.0 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Congo | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Comoros sit 2nd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (3 points from 2 matches) and Congo sit 4th (1 point from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Comoros | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Congo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
A question about Comoros vs Congo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Comoros vs Congo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Comoros the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Congo.
- Where and when is Comoros vs Congo played?
- Comoros vs Congo is played on November 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Bingu National Stadium, in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.