Compostela vs Real Oviedo II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Multiusos de San Lázaro, Santiago de Compostela
The Footlab model makes Compostela the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Real Oviedo II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Compostela vs Real Oviedo II?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Compostela (1,885) and Real Oviedo II (1,945).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Compostela have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Real Oviedo II have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Badalona II(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Badalona II(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 31, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | CD Coria(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 24, 2026 | CD Coria(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Tudelano(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Tudelano(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Langreo(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Compostela win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Real Oviedo II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2024 | Real Oviedo II 0-1 Compostela | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Compostela 1-0 Real Oviedo II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Compostela 0-0 Real Oviedo II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Real Oviedo II 2-1 Compostela | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Real Oviedo II vs Compostela on Apr 20, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Compostela score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Real Oviedo II score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Compostela | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Real Oviedo II | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Real Oviedo II | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 50 | 35 | 58 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Compostela vs Real Oviedo II?
- The Footlab model makes Compostela the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Real Oviedo II.
- Where and when is Compostela vs Real Oviedo II played?
- Compostela vs Real Oviedo II is played on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Multiusos de San Lázaro, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.