Gernika vs Sestao River: result 1-2 and analysis
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Urbieta, Gernika-Lumo
Full time
What was the result of Gernika vs Sestao River?
Sestao River won 1-2 on October 4, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 4′582504Gernika
- 86′A. Castillo MarcillaSestao River
- 90′GorriSestao River
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Gernika win at 36%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gernika have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Sestao River have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Coruxo(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Llanera(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Arosa(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Bergantiños(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | Terrassa(home) | 4-1 | Copa Federacion |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Compostela(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Comillas(away) | 2-1 | Copa Federacion |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Real Oviedo II(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Gernika wins, 3 draws, 3 Sestao River wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Gernika 0-0 Sestao River | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Sestao River 2-2 Gernika | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Sestao River 2-0 Gernika | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Gernika 1-2 Sestao River | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Gernika 1-1 Sestao River | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Sestao River 3-2 Gernika | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Gernika vs Sestao River on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gernika score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sestao River score 1.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gernika | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Sestao River | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gernika sit 10th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (9 points from 7 matches) and Sestao River sit 4th (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sestao River | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | Gernika | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 9 |
A question about Gernika vs Sestao River?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026Racing Santander II1-5Eibar II
- Oct 3, 2026Gimnástica Torrelavega1-2Marino de Luanco
- Oct 3, 2026Basconia1-1Llanera
- Oct 3, 2026Atlético Astorga0-1Amorebieta
- Oct 3, 2026Portugalete0-2Deportivo Alavés II
- Oct 4, 2026Ourense CF0-0Arosa
- Oct 4, 2026Compostela1-2Real Oviedo II
- Oct 4, 2026Bergantiños3-1Coruxo