Atlético Astorga vs Amorebieta: result 0-1 and analysis
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 5Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Eragudina, Astorga
Full time
What was the result of Atlético Astorga vs Amorebieta?
Amorebieta won 0-1 on October 3, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 66′657718Amorebieta
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Amorebieta win at 36%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 0-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Astorga have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Amorebieta have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sestao River(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Basconia(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Portugalete(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Palencia CF(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ourense CF(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Racing Santander II(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Bergantiños(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Arosa(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Athletic Club II(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Astorga score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Amorebieta score 1.1 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Astorga | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Amorebieta | 1.1 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético Astorga sit 13th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (6 points from 6 matches) and Amorebieta sit 10th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Amorebieta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 13 | Atlético Astorga | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 6 |
A question about Atlético Astorga vs Amorebieta?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy