Bergantiños vs Coruxo: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio As Eiroas, Carballo
The Footlab model makes Bergantiños the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Coruxo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bergantiños vs Coruxo?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Bergantiños (1,882) and Coruxo (1,897).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bergantiños have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Coruxo have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Sámano(away) | 5-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | UD Ourense(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Real Oviedo II(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sarriana(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(away) | 4-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pontevedra(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lugo(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bergantiños win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Coruxo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Bergantiños 0-1 Coruxo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Coruxo 0-1 Bergantiños | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Bergantiños 0-1 Coruxo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Coruxo 2-1 Bergantiños | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 7, 2023 | Bergantiños 1-1 Coruxo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 8, 2023 | Coruxo 3-0 Bergantiños | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Bergantiños vs Coruxo on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bergantiños score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Coruxo score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bergantiños | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Coruxo | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bergantiños sit 10th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (48 points from 34 matches) and Coruxo sit 5th (52 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Coruxo | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 46 | 37 | 52 |
| 10 | Bergantiños | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44 | 37 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bergantiños vs Coruxo?
- The Footlab model makes Bergantiños the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Coruxo.
- Where and when is Bergantiños vs Coruxo played?
- Bergantiños vs Coruxo is played on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio As Eiroas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.