Concord Rangers vs Witham Town: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Aspect Arena, Canvey Island, Essex
The Footlab model makes Concord Rangers the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Witham Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Concord Rangers vs Witham Town?
Witham Town starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,727 vs 1,622).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Concord Rangers have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Witham Town have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hastings United(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Redbridge(away) | 3-4 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Felixstowe & Walton Utd(home) | 0-4 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Grays Athletic(away) | 0-1 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Bowers & Pitsea(home) | 1-1 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Tilbury(away) | 1-1 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Brantham Athletic(home) | 4-2 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Bowers & Pitsea(away) | 1-1 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(home) | 5-0 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Downham Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Concord Rangers win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Witham Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Witham Town 3-0 Concord Rangers | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Concord Rangers 2-1 Witham Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Witham Town 2-1 Concord Rangers | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Concord Rangers 2-3 Witham Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
Last archived meeting: Witham Town vs Concord Rangers on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Concord Rangers score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Witham Town score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concord Rangers | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Witham Town | 1.9 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Concord Rangers vs Witham Town?
- The Footlab model makes Concord Rangers the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Witham Town.
- Where and when is Concord Rangers vs Witham Town played?
- Concord Rangers vs Witham Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Aspect Arena, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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