Congleton Town vs Atherton Collieries: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Cleric Stadium, Congleton, Cheshire
The Footlab model makes Congleton Town the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Atherton Collieries. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Congleton Town vs Atherton Collieries?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Congleton Town (1,656) and Atherton Collieries (1,625).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Congleton Town have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Atherton Collieries have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Trafford(home) | 4-0 | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Chasetown(away) | 1-2 | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Witton Albion(away) | 2-3 | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Shifnal Town FC(home) | 2-0 | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Bury(away) | 1-4 | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | Hyde United(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bury(home) | 0-3 | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sporting Khalsa(away) | 0-3 | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Chasetown(home) | 2-1 | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Wythenshawe Town(away) | 3-0 | Non League Div One - Northern West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Congleton Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Atherton Collieries win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Congleton Town 0-0 Atherton Collieries | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Atherton Collieries 4-2 Congleton Town | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Congleton Town 1-2 Atherton Collieries | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Atherton Collieries 3-4 Congleton Town | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| Aug 25, 2012 | Atherton Collieries 2-1 Congleton Town | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Congleton Town vs Atherton Collieries on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Congleton Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Atherton Collieries score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Congleton Town | 1.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Atherton Collieries | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Congleton Town vs Atherton Collieries?
- The Footlab model makes Congleton Town the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Atherton Collieries.
- Where and when is Congleton Town vs Atherton Collieries played?
- Congleton Town vs Atherton Collieries is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Cleric Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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