Match

Congleton Town vs Atherton Collieries: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Cleric Stadium, Congleton, Cheshire

Congleton TownAtherton Collieries

The Footlab model makes Congleton Town the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Atherton Collieries. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Congleton Town vs Atherton Collieries?

A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Congleton Town (1,656) and Atherton Collieries (1,625).

Congleton Town win53 %
Draw24 %
Atherton Collieries win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Congleton Town have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Atherton Collieries have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Congleton Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Trafford(home)4-0Non League Div One - Northern West
Apr 18, 2026Chasetown(away)1-2Non League Div One - Northern West
Apr 11, 2026Witton Albion(away)2-3Non League Div One - Northern West
Apr 6, 2026Shifnal Town FC(home)2-0Non League Div One - Northern West
Apr 4, 2026Bury(away)1-4Non League Div One - Northern West
Atherton Collieries
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 28, 2026Hyde United(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Bury(home)0-3Non League Div One - Northern West
Apr 18, 2026Sporting Khalsa(away)0-3Non League Div One - Northern West
Apr 11, 2026Chasetown(home)2-1Non League Div One - Northern West
Apr 6, 2026Wythenshawe Town(away)3-0Non League Div One - Northern West

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Congleton Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Atherton Collieries win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 21, 2026Congleton Town 0-0 Atherton CollieriesNon League Div One - Northern West
Oct 18, 2025Atherton Collieries 4-2 Congleton TownNon League Div One - Northern West
Feb 22, 2025Congleton Town 1-2 Atherton CollieriesNon League Div One - Northern West
Nov 2, 2024Atherton Collieries 3-4 Congleton TownNon League Div One - Northern West
Aug 25, 2012Atherton Collieries 2-1 Congleton TownFA Cup

Last archived meeting: Congleton Town vs Atherton Collieries on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Congleton Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Atherton Collieries score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Congleton Town1.71.7510/1510/15
Atherton Collieries1.21.738/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Congleton Town vs Atherton Collieries?
The Footlab model makes Congleton Town the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Atherton Collieries.
Where and when is Congleton Town vs Atherton Collieries played?
Congleton Town vs Atherton Collieries is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Cleric Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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