Benin vs Central African Republic: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationQualification - 3Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Félix Houphouët-Boigny, Abidjan
The Footlab AI model makes Benin the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Central African Republic. The most likely score is 1-1. If Benin wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 3,127 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Benin vs Central African Republic?
Benin starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,499 vs 1,339).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Benin vs Central African Republic
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Benin
4-2-3-1- 10A. Tosin
- 8H. Imourane
- 17R. Aloko
- 18J. Olaitan
- 15S. D'Almeida
- 11Y. Ouorou
- 13M. Tijani
- 5Y. Roche
- 3Tamimou Ouorou
- 2L. Omore
- 1M. Dandjinou
Central African Republic
4-3-3- 11Venuste Baboula
- 10G. Koyalipou
- 8I. Solet Bomawoko
- 17J. Sambia
- 6B. Diomandé
- 15E. Quarshie
- 23H. Gambor
- 4S. Mbaka
- 2J. Kouadio
- MM. Doudou
- 16D. Youfeigane
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 12:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Benin have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Central African Republic have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Argentina(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Mauritania(home) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Burkina Faso(away) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Togo(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Niger(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2026 | Burkina Faso(home) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Mauritania(away) | 1-3 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Angola(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Togo(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Chad(away) | 3-2 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
How many goals should we expect?
Benin score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Central African Republic score 0.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benin | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Central African Republic | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Benin sit 1st in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (4 points from 2 matches) and Central African Republic sit 4th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Central African Republic | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
A question about Benin vs Central African Republic?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Benin vs Central African Republic?
- The Footlab AI model makes Benin the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Central African Republic.
- Where and when is Benin vs Central African Republic played?
- Benin vs Central African Republic is played on November 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Félix Houphouët-Boigny, in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.