Corinthians vs Botafogo: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 35Kick-off on November 18, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
The Footlab AI model makes Corinthians the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Botafogo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Corinthians wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Corinthians vs Botafogo?
On Elo ratings, Corinthians has 1,789 points and Botafogo 1,792.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Corinthians vs Botafogo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Corinthians
4-2-3-1- 9Yuri Alberto
- 10M. Depay
- 7Breno
- 14Raniele
- 49Andre
- 37Kaio César
- 13Gustavo Henrique
- 21Matheus Bidu
- 2Matheuzinho
- 3Gabriel Paulista
- 1Hugo Souza
Botafogo
4-2-3-1- 19Arthur Cabral
- 8Danilo Santos
- 6C. Medina
- 11Matheus Martins
- 22H. Ziyech
- 75Huguinho
- 2Vitinho
- 13Alex Telles
- 5N. Ferraresi
- 21Marçal
- 12Gabriel Batista
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Corinthians have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Botafogo have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Palmeiras(away) | 1-4 | Serie A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Internacional(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fluminense(home) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P.(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Flamengo(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Coritiba(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Mirassol(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Gremio(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | RB Bragantino(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Corinthians win, 2 draws, 3 Botafogo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Botafogo 3-1 Corinthians | Serie A |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Corinthians 2-2 Botafogo | Serie A |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Botafogo 1-1 Corinthians | Serie A |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Botafogo 2-1 Corinthians | Serie A |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Corinthians 0-1 Botafogo | Serie A |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Corinthians 1-0 Botafogo | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Botafogo vs Corinthians on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Corinthians score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Botafogo score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Botafogo | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Corinthians sit 16th in Serie A (32 points from 30 matches) and Botafogo sit 13th (36 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 43 | 48 | 36 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 38 | 32 |
A question about Corinthians vs Botafogo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Corinthians vs Botafogo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Corinthians the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Botafogo.
- Where and when is Corinthians vs Botafogo played?
- Corinthians vs Botafogo is played on November 18, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Maracanã, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.