Llanera vs Gimnástica Torrelavega: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de Fútbol Pepe Quimarán, Llanera
The Footlab model makes Llanera the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Gimnástica Torrelavega. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Llanera vs Gimnástica Torrelavega?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Llanera (2,000) and Gimnástica Torrelavega (1,974).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llanera have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Gimnástica Torrelavega have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Avilés Stadium(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Avilés Stadium(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Tuilla(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Real Titánico(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bezana(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sestao River(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Basconia(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Barquereño(away) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Llanera win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Gimnástica Torrelavega win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | Gimnástica Torrelavega 0-0 Llanera | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Llanera 2-1 Gimnástica Torrelavega | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Llanera on Mar 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Llanera score 1.9 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Gimnástica Torrelavega score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llanera | 1.9 | 0.4 | 11 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Gimnástica Torrelavega | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Llanera vs Gimnástica Torrelavega?
- The Footlab model makes Llanera the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Gimnástica Torrelavega.
- Where and when is Llanera vs Gimnástica Torrelavega played?
- Llanera vs Gimnástica Torrelavega is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de Fútbol Pepe Quimarán, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.