Where and when is Ourense CF vs Amorebieta played?

Ourense CF vs Amorebieta is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio O Couto, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ourense CF vs Amorebieta: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio O Couto, Ourense

Ourense CF

Amorebieta

The Footlab model makes Ourense CF the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Amorebieta. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ourense CF vs Amorebieta?

A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Ourense CF (1,907) and Amorebieta (1,896).

Ourense CF win43 %

Draw28 %

Amorebieta win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ourense CF have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Amorebieta have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ourense CF
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Lugo(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Pontevedra(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Tenerife(home)	2-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026	CF Talavera(away)	0-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 10, 2026	Celta de Vigo II(home)	2-4	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Amorebieta
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Athletic Club II(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	Mutilvera(away)	2-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026	Sestao River(home)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 18, 2026	Real Unión(away)	3-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 11, 2026	Gernika(home)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Ourense CF win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Amorebieta win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 17, 2025	Ourense CF 0-3 Amorebieta	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 22, 2024	Amorebieta 2-0 Ourense CF	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Ourense CF vs Amorebieta on May 17, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Ourense CF score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Amorebieta score 1.2 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ourense CF	1.1	1.3	4	9/15	7/15
Amorebieta	1.2	0.8	8	6/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ourense CF vs Amorebieta?: The Footlab model makes Ourense CF the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Amorebieta.
Where and when is Ourense CF vs Amorebieta played?: Ourense CF vs Amorebieta is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio O Couto, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.