Coventry United vs Kidsgrove Athletic: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Butts Park Arena, Coventry, West Midlands
The Footlab model makes Coventry United the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Kidsgrove Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Coventry United vs Kidsgrove Athletic?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Coventry United (1,695) and Kidsgrove Athletic (1,628).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Coventry United have 4 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Kidsgrove Athletic have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2026 | Redditch United(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Abbey Hulton(away) | 3-4 | FA Cup |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Shifnal Town FC(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Sporting Khalsa(away) | 0-3 | FA Cup |
| Aug 4, 2023 | Studley(home) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Llandudno(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Clitheroe(away) | 2-2 | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Shifnal Town FC(home) | 1-2 | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Runcorn Linnets(home) | 1-3 | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Newcastle Town(away) | 1-3 | Non League Div One - Northern West |
How many goals should we expect?
Coventry United score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 13; Kidsgrove Athletic score 1.2 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry United | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/13 | 8/13 |
| Kidsgrove Athletic | 1.2 | 2.2 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Coventry United vs Kidsgrove Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Coventry United the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Kidsgrove Athletic.
- Where and when is Coventry United vs Kidsgrove Athletic played?
- Coventry United vs Kidsgrove Athletic is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Butts Park Arena, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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