Goias vs Ponte Preta: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 37Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio de Hailé Pinheiro, Goiânia, Goiás
The Footlab AI model makes Goias the favourite at 77%, against 16% for a draw and 7% for Ponte Preta. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Goias vs Ponte Preta?
Goias starts as the favourite with a 240-point Elo edge (1,744 vs 1,504).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Goias vs Ponte Preta
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Goias
4-2-3-1- 40Kadu
- 5Filipe Machado
- 97Lourenço
- 10Lucas Lima
- 17Pedro Junqueira
- 35Luquinhas
- 54Djalma Silva
- 14Lucas Ribeiro
- 2Rodrigo Soares
- 3Luiz Felipe
- 23Tadeu
Ponte Preta
3-4-1-2- 9Brandão
- 18David da Hora
- 3Lucas Cunha
- 5Rodrigo Souza
- 13Diego Porfírio
- 2Julio
- 16Juan
- 14Danilo Barcelos
- 44Gustavo Almeida
- 23S. Palacios
- 30Vinicius
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 08:37 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Goias have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Ponte Preta have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Athletic Club(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Novorizontino(away) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Avai(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Botafogo SP(away) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Juventude(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cuiaba(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Botafogo SP(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CRB(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Londrina(away) | 0-6 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Goias wins, 3 draws, 1 Ponte Preta win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Ponte Preta 1-2 Goias | Serie B |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Ponte Preta 1-1 Goias | Serie B |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Goias 3-0 Ponte Preta | Serie B |
| Nov 3, 2021 | Goias 2-2 Ponte Preta | Serie B |
| Jul 23, 2021 | Ponte Preta 2-1 Goias | Serie B |
| Sep 21, 2018 | Goias 2-2 Ponte Preta | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Goias score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ponte Preta score 0.4 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goias | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Ponte Preta | 0.4 | 2.3 | 1 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Goias sit 11th in Serie B (45 points from 32 matches) and Ponte Preta sit 20th (13 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Goias | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 32 | 40 | 45 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17 | 68 | 13 |
A question about Goias vs Ponte Preta?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Goias vs Ponte Preta?
- The Footlab AI model makes Goias the favourite at 77%, against 16% for a draw and 7% for Ponte Preta.
- Where and when is Goias vs Ponte Preta played?
- Goias vs Ponte Preta is played on November 7, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio de Hailé Pinheiro, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.