Where and when is Crowborough Athletic vs Ashford United played?

Crowborough Athletic vs Ashford United is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Crowborough Community Stadium, in the FA Trophy.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Crowborough Athletic vs Ashford United: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Crowborough Community Stadium, Crowborough, East Sussex

Crowborough Athletic

Ashford United

The Footlab model makes Ashford United the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Crowborough Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Crowborough Athletic vs Ashford United?

Ashford United starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,781 vs 1,649).

Crowborough Athletic win26 %

Draw24 %

Ashford United win51 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crowborough Athletic have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Ashford United have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Crowborough Athletic
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Merstham(home)	5-2	Non League Div One - Isthmian South East
Apr 18, 2026	Sheppey United(away)	2-1	Non League Div One - Isthmian South East
Apr 11, 2026	Deal Town(home)	1-4	Non League Div One - Isthmian South East
Apr 6, 2026	Eastbourne Town(away)	0-1	Non League Div One - Isthmian South East
Apr 4, 2026	Sevenoaks Town(home)	2-0	Non League Div One - Isthmian South East

Ashford United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 1, 2026	Dartford(away)	0-4	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026	Hassocks(home)	3-2	Non League Div One - Isthmian South East
Apr 18, 2026	AFC Whyteleafe(away)	2-3	Non League Div One - Isthmian South East
Apr 11, 2026	Sittingbourne(home)	3-1	Non League Div One - Isthmian South East
Apr 6, 2026	Hastings United(away)	2-1	Non League Div One - Isthmian South East

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Crowborough Athletic win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Ashford United win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Sep 27, 2025	Ashford United 0-1 Crowborough Athletic	Non League Div One - Isthmian South East

Last archived meeting: Ashford United vs Crowborough Athletic on Sep 27, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Crowborough Athletic score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ashford United score 2.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Crowborough Athletic	1.7	1.7	3	10/15	10/15
Ashford United	2.3	1.2	5	9/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Crowborough Athletic vs Ashford United?: The Footlab model makes Ashford United the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Crowborough Athletic.
Where and when is Crowborough Athletic vs Ashford United played?: Crowborough Athletic vs Ashford United is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Crowborough Community Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.