Match

Croydon Athletic vs Sevenoaks Town: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Keith Tuckey Stadium

Croydon AthleticSevenoaks Town

The Footlab model makes Croydon Athletic the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Sevenoaks Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Croydon Athletic vs Sevenoaks Town?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Croydon Athletic (1,637) and Sevenoaks Town (1,672).

Croydon Athletic win42 %
Draw25 %
Sevenoaks Town win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Croydon Athletic have 1 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Sevenoaks Town have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Croydon Athletic
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 4, 2026Folkestone Invicta(away)2-5Friendlies Clubs
Sep 13, 2025Hampton & Richmond(away)2-4FA Cup
Aug 30, 2025Sittingbourne(away)2-1FA Cup
Aug 1, 2023Beckenham Town(home)3-4Friendlies Clubs
Aug 16, 2014Erith & Belvedere(away)0-2FA Cup
Sevenoaks Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Eastbourne Town(away)2-2Non League Div One - Isthmian South East
Apr 18, 2026Faversham Town(home)2-2Non League Div One - Isthmian South East
Apr 11, 2026Sheppey United(away)6-1Non League Div One - Isthmian South East
Apr 6, 2026Broadbridge Heath(home)1-2Non League Div One - Isthmian South East
Apr 4, 2026Crowborough Athletic(away)0-2Non League Div One - Isthmian South East

How many goals should we expect?

Croydon Athletic score 1.5 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 8; Sevenoaks Town score 2.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Croydon Athletic1.53.106/85/8
Sevenoaks Town2.01.5211/159/15

Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Croydon Athletic vs Sevenoaks Town?
The Footlab model makes Croydon Athletic the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Sevenoaks Town.
Where and when is Croydon Athletic vs Sevenoaks Town played?
Croydon Athletic vs Sevenoaks Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Keith Tuckey Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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