Croydon Athletic vs Sevenoaks Town: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Keith Tuckey Stadium
The Footlab model makes Croydon Athletic the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Sevenoaks Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Croydon Athletic vs Sevenoaks Town?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Croydon Athletic (1,637) and Sevenoaks Town (1,672).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Croydon Athletic have 1 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Sevenoaks Town have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Hampton & Richmond(away) | 2-4 | FA Cup |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Sittingbourne(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Aug 1, 2023 | Beckenham Town(home) | 3-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 16, 2014 | Erith & Belvedere(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Eastbourne Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Faversham Town(home) | 2-2 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sheppey United(away) | 6-1 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Broadbridge Heath(home) | 1-2 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Crowborough Athletic(away) | 0-2 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
How many goals should we expect?
Croydon Athletic score 1.5 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 8; Sevenoaks Town score 2.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croydon Athletic | 1.5 | 3.1 | 0 | 6/8 | 5/8 |
| Sevenoaks Town | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Croydon Athletic vs Sevenoaks Town?
- The Footlab model makes Croydon Athletic the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Sevenoaks Town.
- Where and when is Croydon Athletic vs Sevenoaks Town played?
- Croydon Athletic vs Sevenoaks Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Keith Tuckey Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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