AFC Emley vs Bury: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 29Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Welfare Ground, Emley, West Yorkshire
The Footlab AI model makes Bury the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for AFC Emley. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bury wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,455 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Emley vs Bury?
Bury starts as the favourite with a 252-point Elo edge (1,958 vs 1,706).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AFC Emley vs Bury
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AFC Emley
Not enough data to predict the AFC Emley lineup.
Bury
Not enough data to predict the Bury lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Emley have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Bury have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Workington(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bootle(away) | 0-5 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alfreton Town(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 4-3 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Workington(home) | 5-1 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 AFC Emley wins, 0 draws, 1 Bury win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bury 4-0 AFC Emley | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Emley score 0.9 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bury score 2.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Emley | 0.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Bury | 2.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Emley sit 19th in Non League Premier - Northern (11 points from 13 matches) and Bury sit 11th (19 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 11 | 19 |
| 19 | AFC Emley | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25 | 11 |
A question about AFC Emley vs Bury?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Emley vs Bury?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bury the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for AFC Emley.
- Where and when is AFC Emley vs Bury played?
- AFC Emley vs Bury is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Welfare Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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