Match

Cusco vs Sporting Cristal: prediction and stats

Primera DivisiónClausura - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco

CuscoSporting Cristal

The Footlab AI model makes Cusco the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Sporting Cristal. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cusco wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cusco vs Sporting Cristal?

A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Cusco (1,694) and Sporting Cristal (1,761).

41%27%32%
Cusco winDrawSporting Cristal win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Cusco vs Sporting Cristal

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Cusco

4-1-4-1
  1. 9F. Callejo
  1. 10I. Colman
  2. 55J. Montaño
  3. 26N. Silva
  4. 14C. Diez
  5. 7J. Manzaneda
  1. 3R. Lagos
  2. 21J. Zevallos
  3. 8A. Fuentes
  4. 2C. Gamarra
  1. 28P. Díaz

Sporting Cristal

4-4-2
  1. 22M. Hoyos
  2. 16L. Iberico
  1. 23M. Castro
  2. 7S. González
  3. 6A. Álvarez
  4. 19Y. Yotún
  1. 5R. Lutiger
  2. 8L. Sosa
  3. 20M. Araujo
  4. 90Cris Silva
  1. 1D. Enríquez

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:35 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cusco have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Sporting Cristal have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cusco
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Alianza Lima(home)1-2Primera División
Sep 19, 2026FC Cajamarca(away)2-1Primera División
Sep 12, 2026FBC Melgar(home)0-1Primera División
Sep 5, 2026UCV Moquegua(home)2-0Primera División
Aug 31, 2026Cienciano(away)2-1Primera División
Sporting Cristal
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026UTC Cajamarca(away)1-0Primera División
Oct 1, 2026ADT(home)5-0Copa De La Liga
Sep 27, 2026ADT(away)1-0Copa De La Liga
Sep 19, 2026Atletico Grau(home)3-1Primera División
Sep 13, 2026UCV Moquegua(away)2-1Primera División

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cusco wins, 2 draws, 2 Sporting Cristal wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Sporting Cristal 2-2 CuscoPrimera División
Dec 14, 2025Cusco 2-0 Sporting CristalPrimera División
Dec 11, 2025Sporting Cristal 1-0 CuscoPrimera División
Sep 14, 2025Cusco 3-2 Sporting CristalPrimera División
Apr 13, 2025Sporting Cristal 1-0 CuscoPrimera División
Sep 22, 2024Cusco 1-1 Sporting CristalPrimera División

Last archived meeting: Sporting Cristal vs Cusco on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cusco score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Cristal score 2.0 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cusco1.71.5311/1511/15
Sporting Cristal2.00.867/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cusco sit 5th in Primera División (45 points from 27 matches) and Sporting Cristal sit 8th (41 points from 28 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Cusco2714310403845
8Sporting Cristal2812511494041

A question about Cusco vs Sporting Cristal?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cusco vs Sporting Cristal?
The Footlab AI model makes Cusco the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Sporting Cristal.
Where and when is Cusco vs Sporting Cristal played?
Cusco vs Sporting Cristal is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, in the Primera División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Cusco and Sporting Cristal

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