Where and when is Cusco vs Sporting Cristal played?

Cusco vs Sporting Cristal is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, in the Primera División.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Cusco vs Sporting Cristal: prediction and stats

Primera DivisiónClausura - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco

Cusco

Sporting Cristal

The Footlab model makes Cusco the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Sporting Cristal. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cusco vs Sporting Cristal?

A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Cusco (1,705) and Sporting Cristal (1,734).

Cusco win44 %

Draw26 %

Sporting Cristal win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cusco have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Sporting Cristal have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cusco
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Deportivo Garcilaso(away)	1-4	Primera División
Aug 14, 2026	Juan Pablo II College(home)	2-0	Primera División
Aug 7, 2026	Comerciantes Unidos(away)	1-3	Primera División
Aug 1, 2026	UTC Cajamarca(home)	4-1	Primera División
Jul 25, 2026	Universitario(away)	1-2	Primera División

Sporting Cristal
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Alianza Atletico(away)	1-3	Primera División
Aug 16, 2026	Sport Huancayo(home)	4-1	Primera División
Aug 8, 2026	Universitario(away)	1-1	Primera División
Aug 2, 2026	Juan Pablo II College(home)	2-0	Primera División
Jul 30, 2026	RB Bragantino(away)	0-1	CONMEBOL Sudamericana

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cusco win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Sporting Cristal win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Sporting Cristal 2-2 Cusco	Primera División
Dec 14, 2025	Cusco 2-0 Sporting Cristal	Primera División
Dec 11, 2025	Sporting Cristal 1-0 Cusco	Primera División
Sep 14, 2025	Cusco 3-2 Sporting Cristal	Primera División
Apr 13, 2025	Sporting Cristal 1-0 Cusco	Primera División
Sep 22, 2024	Cusco 1-1 Sporting Cristal	Primera División

Last archived meeting: Sporting Cristal vs Cusco on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cusco score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Cristal score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Cusco	1.5	1.7	3	10/15	10/15
Sporting Cristal	1.4	1.3	4	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cusco sit 6th in Primera División (27 points from 17 matches) and Sporting Cristal sit 12th (19 points from 17 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Sporting Cristal	4	2	1	1	5	3	7
5	Sporting Cristal	6	3	1	2	10	7	10
6	Cusco	17	8	3	6	21	24	27
6	Cusco	17	8	3	6	21	24	27
7	Cusco	23	11	3	9	34	35	36
9	Cusco	4	2	0	2	10	7	6
9	Cusco	6	3	0	3	13	11	9
10	Sporting Cristal	23	8	5	10	38	37	29
12	Sporting Cristal	17	5	4	8	28	30	19
12	Sporting Cristal	17	5	4	8	28	30	19

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cusco vs Sporting Cristal?: The Footlab model makes Cusco the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Sporting Cristal.
Where and when is Cusco vs Sporting Cristal played?: Cusco vs Sporting Cristal is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, in the Primera División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.