Match

Sport Boys vs FC Cajamarca: prediction and stats

Primera DivisiónClausura - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Miguel Grau del Callao, Callao

Sport BoysFC Cajamarca

The Footlab model makes Sport Boys the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for FC Cajamarca. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sport Boys vs FC Cajamarca?

A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Sport Boys (1,636) and FC Cajamarca (1,569).

Sport Boys win64 %
Draw21 %
FC Cajamarca win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sport Boys have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; FC Cajamarca have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sport Boys
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Cienciano(home)5-1Primera División
Aug 16, 2026UCV Moquegua(away)1-1Primera División
Aug 9, 2026Alianza Lima(home)1-1Primera División
Aug 1, 2026Atletico Grau(away)1-0Primera División
Jul 25, 2026ADT(home)2-0Primera División
FC Cajamarca
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Atletico Grau(home)1-3Primera División
Aug 16, 2026Universitario(home)2-3Primera División
Aug 9, 2026FBC Melgar(away)4-2Primera División
Aug 1, 2026Sport Huancayo(home)0-2Primera División
Jul 27, 2026Deportivo Garcilaso(away)1-2Primera División

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Sport Boys win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 FC Cajamarca win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026FC Cajamarca 3-2 Sport BoysPrimera División

Last archived meeting: FC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sport Boys score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC Cajamarca score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sport Boys1.40.786/154/15
FC Cajamarca1.51.8013/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sport Boys sit 11th in Primera División (20 points from 17 matches) and FC Cajamarca sit 15th (17 points from 17 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Sport Boys632110411
5Sport Boys4211427
9Sport Boys23878252331
11Sport Boys17557151920
11Sport Boys17557151920
13FC Cajamarca4112784
15FC Cajamarca17458232817
15FC Cajamarca17458232817
15FC Cajamarca611410144
17FC Cajamarca235612334221

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sport Boys vs FC Cajamarca?
The Footlab model makes Sport Boys the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for FC Cajamarca.
Where and when is Sport Boys vs FC Cajamarca played?
Sport Boys vs FC Cajamarca is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Miguel Grau del Callao, in the Primera División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Sport Boys and FC Cajamarca

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