Universitario vs Juan Pablo II College: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Monumental, Lima
The Footlab model makes Universitario the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Juan Pablo II College. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Universitario vs Juan Pablo II College?
Universitario starts as the favourite with a 251-point Elo edge (1,808 vs 1,557).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Universitario have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Juan Pablo II College have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Cajamarca(away) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sporting Cristal(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Cienciano(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Cusco(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | ADT(home) | 5-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cusco(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atletico Grau(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sporting Cristal(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Cienciano(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Universitario win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Juan Pablo II College win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Juan Pablo II College 1-4 Universitario | Primera División |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Universitario 3-0 Juan Pablo II College | Primera División |
| May 18, 2025 | Juan Pablo II College 2-0 Universitario | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Juan Pablo II College vs Universitario on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Universitario score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Juan Pablo II College score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universitario | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Juan Pablo II College | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Universitario sit 4th in Primera División (29 points from 17 matches) and Juan Pablo II College sit 18th (16 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Universitario | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Universitario | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 42 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 15 | 29 |
| 8 | Universitario | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Juan Pablo II College | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 14 | Juan Pablo II College | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 47 | 24 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 40 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 40 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Universitario vs Juan Pablo II College?
- The Footlab model makes Universitario the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Juan Pablo II College.
- Where and when is Universitario vs Juan Pablo II College played?
- Universitario vs Juan Pablo II College is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Monumental, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026UTC CajamarcavsFBC Melgar
- Oct 24, 2026Sport BoysvsFC Cajamarca
- Oct 24, 2026Sport HuancayovsAlianza Atletico
- Oct 24, 2026Comerciantes UnidosvsCienciano
- Oct 24, 2026Atletico GrauvsADT
- Oct 24, 2026CuscovsSporting Cristal
- Oct 24, 2026Deportivo GarcilasovsClub Deportivo Los Chankas
- Oct 24, 2026UCV MoqueguavsAlianza Lima