Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atletico: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Huancayo, Huancayo
The Footlab model makes Sport Huancayo the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Alianza Atletico. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atletico?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Sport Huancayo (1,605) and Alianza Atletico (1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sport Huancayo have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Alianza Atletico have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UCV Moquegua(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sporting Cristal(away) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Cajamarca(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Atletico Grau(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | UTC Cajamarca(home) | 1-1 | Copa De La Liga |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sporting Cristal(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | ADT(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Cienciano(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Alianza Lima(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sport Huancayo win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Alianza Atletico win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Alianza Atletico 4-1 Sport Huancayo | Primera División |
| Jul 18, 2025 | Alianza Atletico 0-0 Sport Huancayo | Primera División |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Sport Huancayo 2-1 Alianza Atletico | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2024 | Alianza Atletico 1-1 Sport Huancayo | Primera División |
| Feb 23, 2024 | Sport Huancayo 4-0 Alianza Atletico | Primera División |
| Jul 31, 2023 | Sport Huancayo 2-0 Alianza Atletico | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Alianza Atletico vs Sport Huancayo on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sport Huancayo score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Alianza Atletico score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Huancayo | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Alianza Atletico | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sport Huancayo sit 17th in Primera División (16 points from 17 matches) and Alianza Atletico sit 8th (21 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sport Huancayo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 21 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 21 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 30 | 28 | 31 |
| 10 | Alianza Atletico | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 13 | Sport Huancayo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 28 | 40 | 23 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 31 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 31 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atletico?
- The Footlab model makes Sport Huancayo the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Alianza Atletico.
- Where and when is Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atletico played?
- Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atletico is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Huancayo, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026UTC CajamarcavsFBC Melgar
- Oct 24, 2026UniversitariovsJuan Pablo II College
- Oct 24, 2026Sport BoysvsFC Cajamarca
- Oct 24, 2026Comerciantes UnidosvsCienciano
- Oct 24, 2026Atletico GrauvsADT
- Oct 24, 2026CuscovsSporting Cristal
- Oct 24, 2026Deportivo GarcilasovsClub Deportivo Los Chankas
- Oct 24, 2026UCV MoqueguavsAlianza Lima