Deportivo Garcilaso vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Garcilaso the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Club Deportivo Los Chankas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Garcilaso vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Deportivo Garcilaso (1,711) and Club Deportivo Los Chankas (1,678).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Garcilaso have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Club Deportivo Los Chankas have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cusco(home) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cienciano(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | UCV Moquegua(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | ADT(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 27, 2026 | FC Cajamarca(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Universitario(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FBC Melgar(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sport Huancayo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Comerciantes Unidos(home) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Alianza Atletico(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Deportivo Garcilaso win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Club Deportivo Los Chankas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0-1 Deportivo Garcilaso | Primera División |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Deportivo Garcilaso 3-0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas | Primera División |
| Feb 10, 2025 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas 2-2 Deportivo Garcilaso | Primera División |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1-0 Deportivo Garcilaso | Primera División |
| Apr 29, 2024 | Deportivo Garcilaso 1-1 Club Deportivo Los Chankas | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Deportivo Garcilaso on May 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Garcilaso score 1.6 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Club Deportivo Los Chankas score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Garcilaso | 1.6 | 0.5 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 1.0 | 1.5 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Garcilaso sit 7th in Primera División (26 points from 17 matches) and Club Deportivo Los Chankas sit 2nd (34 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 34 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 34 |
| 3 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 33 | 41 |
| 5 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 21 | 39 |
| 7 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 26 |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Garcilaso the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Club Deportivo Los Chankas.
- Where and when is Deportivo Garcilaso vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas played?
- Deportivo Garcilaso vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026UTC CajamarcavsFBC Melgar
- Oct 24, 2026UniversitariovsJuan Pablo II College
- Oct 24, 2026Sport BoysvsFC Cajamarca
- Oct 24, 2026Sport HuancayovsAlianza Atletico
- Oct 24, 2026Comerciantes UnidosvsCienciano
- Oct 24, 2026Atletico GrauvsADT
- Oct 24, 2026CuscovsSporting Cristal
- Oct 24, 2026UCV MoqueguavsAlianza Lima