Czechia U17 vs Moldova U17: prediction and stats
UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Doutor Orlando Mendes, Santa Comba Dão
The Footlab model makes Czechia U17 the favourite at 69%, against 17% for a draw and 13% for Moldova U17. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Czechia U17 vs Moldova U17?
Czechia U17 is a heavy favourite: 1,631 Elo points against 1,287 — a 344-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Czechia U17 have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Moldova U17 have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Kazakhstan U17(away) | 3-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Austria U17(home) | 1-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Denmark U17(home) | 1-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Belgium U17(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Spain U17(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Gibraltar U17(away) | 7-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Finland U17(away) | 0-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Bosnia-Herzegovina U17(home) | 0-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Hungary U17(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Belarus U17(home) | 0-6 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
How many goals should we expect?
Czechia U17 score 2.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Moldova U17 score 0.6 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Czechia U17 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Moldova U17 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 3 | 2/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Czechia U17 sit 1st in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (9 points from 3 matches) and Moldova U17 sit 2nd (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Czechia U17 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Moldova U17 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Czechia U17 vs Moldova U17?
- The Footlab model makes Czechia U17 the favourite at 69%, against 17% for a draw and 13% for Moldova U17.
- Where and when is Czechia U17 vs Moldova U17 played?
- Czechia U17 vs Moldova U17 is played on October 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Doutor Orlando Mendes, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Sep 29, 2026Greece U17vsIceland U17
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