Defensa Y Justicia vs Platense: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 7Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello, Florencio Varela, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Defensa Y Justicia the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Platense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Defensa Y Justicia vs Platense?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Defensa Y Justicia (1,803) and Platense (1,814).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Defensa Y Justicia have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Platense have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Velez Sarsfield(away) | 1-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Newells Old Boys(home) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P.(away) | 0-3 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Deportivo Riestra(home) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Aldosivi(home) | 1-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido(away) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Boca Juniors(home) | 1-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Independiente(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Talleres Cordoba(home) | 0-4 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Defensa Y Justicia win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Platense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | Platense 0-0 Defensa Y Justicia | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Defensa Y Justicia 1-2 Platense | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Platense 0-1 Defensa Y Justicia | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 29, 2024 | Defensa Y Justicia 1-3 Platense | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Defensa Y Justicia 3-0 Platense | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Platense 0-0 Defensa Y Justicia | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
Last archived meeting: Platense vs Defensa Y Justicia on Feb 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Defensa Y Justicia score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Platense score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensa Y Justicia | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Platense | 1.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Defensa Y Justicia sit 10th in Liga Profesional Argentina (19 points from 16 matches) and Platense sit 12th (16 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Defensa Y Justicia | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 21 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 16 |
| 14 | Platense | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Defensa Y Justicia vs Platense?
- The Footlab model makes Defensa Y Justicia the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Platense.
- Where and when is Defensa Y Justicia vs Platense played?
- Defensa Y Justicia vs Platense is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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