Denmark U17 vs Estonia U17: prediction and stats
UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Denmark U17 the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Estonia U17. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Denmark U17 vs Estonia U17?
Denmark U17 is a heavy favourite: 1,681 Elo points against 1,331 — a 350-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Denmark U17 have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Estonia U17 have 1, 0 and 14.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2026 | Italy U17(home) | 3-3 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 29, 2026 | France U17(away) | 0-4 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 26, 2026 | Montenegro U17(away) | 2-1 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Austria U17(home) | 6-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Kazakhstan U17(away) | 3-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Belgium U17(away) | 0-1 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 28, 2026 | Croatia U17(home) | 1-3 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 25, 2026 | Spain U17(home) | 1-4 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| Mar 31, 2026 | England U17(home) | 0-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Faroe Islands U17(away) | 1-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Denmark U17 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Estonia U17 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2022 | Denmark U17 8-0 Estonia U17 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
Last archived meeting: Denmark U17 vs Estonia U17 on Oct 29, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Denmark U17 score 2.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Estonia U17 score 0.6 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denmark U17 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Estonia U17 | 0.6 | 2.7 | 1 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Denmark U17 sit 1st in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (7 points from 3 matches) and Estonia U17 sit 4th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denmark U17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Estonia U17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Denmark U17 vs Estonia U17?
- The Footlab model makes Denmark U17 the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Estonia U17.
- Where and when is Denmark U17 vs Estonia U17 played?
- Denmark U17 vs Estonia U17 is played on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Sep 23, 2026Bosnia-Herzegovina U17vsGreece U17
- Sep 26, 2026Greece U17vsGibraltar U17
- Sep 26, 2026Iceland U17vsBosnia-Herzegovina U17
- Sep 29, 2026Gibraltar U17vsBosnia-Herzegovina U17
- Sep 29, 2026Greece U17vsIceland U17
- Oct 12, 2026Israel U17vsSwitzerland U17
- Oct 12, 2026Spain U17vsLiechtenstein U17