Junior vs Cucuta: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 18Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla
The Footlab model makes Junior the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Cucuta. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Junior vs Cucuta?
Junior starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,787 vs 1,637).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Junior have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Cucuta have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Once Caldas(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Millonarios(home) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Barranquilla(away) | 3-3 | Copa Colombia |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Deportes Tolima(away) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Barranquilla(home) | 2-2 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Independiente Medellin(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Internacional de Bogota(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fortaleza FC(away) | 0-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Bucaramanga(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Once Caldas(away) | 1-5 | Primera A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Junior win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Cucuta win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Cucuta 1-1 Junior | Primera A |
| Aug 17, 2023 | Junior 2-1 Cucuta | Copa Colombia |
| Jul 27, 2023 | Cucuta 4-3 Junior | Copa Colombia |
| Nov 1, 2020 | Cucuta 1-4 Junior | Primera A |
| Nov 24, 2019 | Junior 1-0 Cucuta | Primera A |
| Nov 15, 2019 | Cucuta 1-3 Junior | Primera A |
How many goals should we expect?
Junior score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cucuta score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Cucuta | 0.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Junior sit 2nd in Primera A (35 points from 19 matches) and Cucuta sit 19th (16 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 35 |
| 2 | Junior | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 44 |
| 14 | Cucuta | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 5 |
| 18 | Junior | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 16 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Junior vs Cucuta?
- The Footlab model makes Junior the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Cucuta.
- Where and when is Junior vs Cucuta played?
- Junior vs Cucuta is played on November 4, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 4, 2026ChicovsInternacional de Bogota
- Nov 4, 2026JaguaresvsBucaramanga
- Nov 4, 2026Once CaldasvsÁguilas Doradas
- Nov 4, 2026Atletico NacionalvsDeportivo Pereira
- Nov 4, 2026America de CalivsDeportivo Cali
- Nov 4, 2026Santa FevsDeportivo Pasto
- Nov 4, 2026Alianza ValleduparvsLlaneros
- Nov 4, 2026Deportes TolimavsMillonarios