Match

Junior vs Cucuta: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 18Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla

JuniorCucuta

The Footlab model makes Junior the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Cucuta. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Junior vs Cucuta?

Junior starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,787 vs 1,637).

Junior win54 %
Draw26 %
Cucuta win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Junior have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Cucuta have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Junior
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Once Caldas(home)1-1Primera A
Aug 2, 2026Millonarios(home)0-1Primera A
Jul 29, 2026Barranquilla(away)3-3Copa Colombia
Jul 26, 2026Deportes Tolima(away)1-2Primera A
Jul 23, 2026Barranquilla(home)2-2Copa Colombia
Cucuta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Independiente Medellin(away)1-0Primera A
Aug 19, 2026Internacional de Bogota(home)1-1Primera A
Aug 8, 2026Fortaleza FC(away)0-2Primera A
Aug 4, 2026Bucaramanga(away)1-1Primera A
Jul 27, 2026Once Caldas(away)1-5Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Junior win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Cucuta win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 24, 2026Cucuta 1-1 JuniorPrimera A
Aug 17, 2023Junior 2-1 CucutaCopa Colombia
Jul 27, 2023Cucuta 4-3 JuniorCopa Colombia
Nov 1, 2020Cucuta 1-4 JuniorPrimera A
Nov 24, 2019Junior 1-0 CucutaPrimera A
Nov 15, 2019Cucuta 1-3 JuniorPrimera A

Last archived meeting: Cucuta vs Junior on Apr 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Junior score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cucuta score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Junior1.51.539/158/15
Cucuta0.71.366/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Junior sit 2nd in Primera A (35 points from 19 matches) and Cucuta sit 19th (16 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Junior191126312435
2Junior251357382844
14Cucuta5122495
18Junior3012241
19Cucuta19379223516
19Cucuta19379223516

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Junior vs Cucuta?
The Footlab model makes Junior the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Cucuta.
Where and when is Junior vs Cucuta played?
Junior vs Cucuta is played on November 4, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Junior and Cucuta

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