Didcot Town vs Winchester City: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Christchurch Homes Loop Meadow, Didcot, Oxfordshire
The Footlab model makes Winchester City the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Didcot Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Didcot Town vs Winchester City?
Winchester City starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,770 vs 1,638).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Didcot Town have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Winchester City have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Westbury United(home) | 1-1 | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Mousehole(away) | 1-0 | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Malvern Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Swindon Supermarine(away) | 0-0 | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Brixham(home) | 1-0 | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bristol Manor Farm(home) | 3-0 | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Exmouth(away) | 2-1 | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Shaftesbury Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Bashley(home) | 2-2 | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Willand Rovers(away) | 1-0 | Non League Div One - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Didcot Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Winchester City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | Winchester City 2-0 Didcot Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Didcot Town 1-3 Winchester City | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Jan 23, 2024 | Winchester City 1-2 Didcot Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Didcot Town 1-0 Winchester City | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Winchester City vs Didcot Town on Jan 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Didcot Town score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Winchester City score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Didcot Town | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Winchester City | 2.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Didcot Town vs Winchester City?
- The Footlab model makes Winchester City the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Didcot Town.
- Where and when is Didcot Town vs Winchester City played?
- Didcot Town vs Winchester City is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Christchurch Homes Loop Meadow, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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