Dunav Ruse vs Levski Sofia: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Gradski Stadion, Rousse
The Footlab model makes Levski Sofia the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Dunav Ruse. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dunav Ruse vs Levski Sofia?
Levski Sofia is a heavy favourite: 2,050 Elo points against 1,731 — a 319-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dunav Ruse have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Levski Sofia have 11, 4 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 1-3 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Ludogorets(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Spartak Varna(home) | 6-0 | First League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Dunav Ruse win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Levski Sofia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | Levski Sofia 2-1 Dunav Ruse | First League |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Levski Sofia 1-0 Dunav Ruse | Cup |
| Nov 22, 2023 | Dunav Ruse 1-3 Levski Sofia | Cup |
| Oct 31, 2019 | Levski Sofia 2-0 Dunav Ruse | First League |
| Jul 15, 2019 | Dunav Ruse 1-4 Levski Sofia | First League |
| Dec 1, 2018 | Levski Sofia 3-0 Dunav Ruse | First League |
Last archived meeting: Levski Sofia vs Dunav Ruse on Jul 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dunav Ruse score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Levski Sofia score 2.5 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunav Ruse | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Levski Sofia | 2.5 | 0.4 | 10 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dunav Ruse sit 12th in First League (3 points from 6 matches) and Levski Sofia sit 2nd (15 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Levski Sofia | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 12 | Dunav Ruse | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dunav Ruse vs Levski Sofia?
- The Footlab model makes Levski Sofia the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Dunav Ruse.
- Where and when is Dunav Ruse vs Levski Sofia played?
- Dunav Ruse vs Levski Sofia is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski Stadion, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.