Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Lokomotiv, Sofia
The Footlab AI model makes Botev Plovdiv the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Lokomotiv Sofia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Botev Plovdiv wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?
Botev Plovdiv starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,793 vs 1,689).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lokomotiv Sofia
4-2-3-1- 7S. Delev
- 31K. Stanoev
- 20D. Kostadinov
- 16M. Medfai
- 5E. Dost
- 44B. Katsarov
- 14A. Lyaskov
- 3K. Kostov
- 91R. Bidounga
- 6Eirô
- 99M. Velichkov
Botev Plovdiv
4-2-3-1- 90S. Kalu
- 10A. Chandarov
- 77Lucas Araújo
- 7Alberto Salido
- 16V. Vidolov
- 13S. Tsonov
- 87S. Petrov
- 27B. Hein
- 82V. Mendes
- 4N. Soldo
- 29D. Naumov
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotiv Sofia have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Botev Plovdiv have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Spartak Varna(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 2-2 | First League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ludogorets(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(away) | 3-0 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(away) | 3-2 | First League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Levski Sofia(home) | 1-3 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lokomotiv Sofia wins, 2 draws, 2 Botev Plovdiv wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv 1-1 Lokomotiv Sofia | First League |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv 3-1 Lokomotiv Sofia | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Lokomotiv Sofia 3-2 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Botev Plovdiv 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia | First League |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Lokomotiv Sofia 1-1 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Lokomotiv Sofia 1-5 Botev Plovdiv | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia on Jul 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotiv Sofia score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Botev Plovdiv score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Sofia | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Botev Plovdiv | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotiv Sofia sit 12th in First League (8 points from 11 matches) and Botev Plovdiv sit 5th (19 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 19 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
A question about Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?
- The Footlab AI model makes Botev Plovdiv the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Lokomotiv Sofia.
- Where and when is Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv played?
- Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Lokomotiv, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.