Dynamo Makhachkala II vs Druzhba: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 1Group 1 - 25Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Druzhba the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Dynamo Makhachkala II. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dynamo Makhachkala II vs Druzhba?
Druzhba is a heavy favourite: 1,689 Elo points against 1,377 — a 312-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dynamo Makhachkala II have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Druzhba have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FK Chayka 2(home) | 0-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kyzyltash(away) | 4-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rubin Yalta(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lugansk(away) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Rostov II(home) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kyzyltash(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FK Chayka 2(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Angust Nazran(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Shahter Taganrog(home) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sevastopol(home) | 1-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Dynamo Makhachkala II win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Druzhba win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Druzhba 2-1 Dynamo Makhachkala II | Second League - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Druzhba 5-0 Dynamo Makhachkala II | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Druzhba 3-1 Dynamo Makhachkala II | Second League - Group 1 |
| May 31, 2025 | Dynamo Makhachkala II 1-1 Druzhba | Second League - Group 1 |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Druzhba 3-1 Dynamo Makhachkala II | Second League - Group 1 |
| May 15, 2024 | Dynamo Makhachkala II 2-3 Druzhba | Second League - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Druzhba vs Dynamo Makhachkala II on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dynamo Makhachkala II score 0.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Druzhba score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Makhachkala II | 0.8 | 1.9 | 1 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Druzhba | 1.3 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dynamo Makhachkala II sit 15th in Second League - Group 1 (13 points from 20 matches) and Druzhba sit 9th (27 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Druzhba | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 21 | 27 |
| 15 | Dynamo Makhachkala II | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 35 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dynamo Makhachkala II vs Druzhba?
- The Footlab model makes Druzhba the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Dynamo Makhachkala II.
- Where and when is Dynamo Makhachkala II vs Druzhba played?
- Dynamo Makhachkala II vs Druzhba is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Second League - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.