Izberbash vs Nart Cherkessk: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 1Group 1 - 25Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Nart Cherkessk the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Izberbash. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Izberbash vs Nart Cherkessk?
Nart Cherkessk starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (1,730 vs 1,584).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Izberbash have 5 wins, 0 draws and 10 defeats; Nart Cherkessk have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shahter Taganrog(home) | 0-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rubin Yalta(away) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kyzyltash(home) | 1-6 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rostov II(away) | 0-5 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Anzhi(away) | 5-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rubin Yalta(home) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shahter Taganrog(away) | 2-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dinamo Stavropol(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Chayka 2(home) | 2-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sevastopol(away) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Izberbash win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Nart Cherkessk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Nart Cherkessk 5-0 Izberbash | Second League - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Nart Cherkessk vs Izberbash on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Izberbash score 1.3 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Nart Cherkessk score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Izberbash | 1.3 | 2.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 14/15 |
| Nart Cherkessk | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Izberbash sit 12th in Second League - Group 1 (18 points from 20 matches) and Nart Cherkessk sit 7th (28 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nart Cherkessk | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 16 | 28 |
| 12 | Izberbash | 20 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 18 | 54 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Izberbash vs Nart Cherkessk?
- The Footlab model makes Nart Cherkessk the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Izberbash.
- Where and when is Izberbash vs Nart Cherkessk played?
- Izberbash vs Nart Cherkessk is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Second League - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.