Shahter Taganrog vs Rubin Yalta: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 1Group 1 - 25Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Shahter Taganrog the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Rubin Yalta. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shahter Taganrog vs Rubin Yalta?
Shahter Taganrog starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,782 vs 1,676).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shahter Taganrog have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Rubin Yalta have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Izberbash(away) | 2-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nart Cherkessk(home) | 3-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Druzhba(away) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Astrakhan(home) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Pobeda(away) | 3-4 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nart Cherkessk(away) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Izberbash(home) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dynamo Makhachkala II(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Angust Nazran(home) | 3-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Spartak Nalchik(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Shahter Taganrog win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Rubin Yalta win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Rubin Yalta 0-2 Shahter Taganrog | Second League - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Rubin Yalta vs Shahter Taganrog on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shahter Taganrog score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rubin Yalta score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shahter Taganrog | 2.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Rubin Yalta | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shahter Taganrog sit 1st in Second League - Group 1 (45 points from 20 matches) and Rubin Yalta sit 4th (31 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shahter Taganrog | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Rubin Yalta | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 21 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shahter Taganrog vs Rubin Yalta?
- The Footlab model makes Shahter Taganrog the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Rubin Yalta.
- Where and when is Shahter Taganrog vs Rubin Yalta played?
- Shahter Taganrog vs Rubin Yalta is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Second League - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.