Rostov II vs Sevastopol: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 1Group 1 - 25Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Sevastopol the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Rostov II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rostov II vs Sevastopol?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Rostov II (1,773) and Sevastopol (1,833).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rostov II have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Sevastopol have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Astrakhan(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Angust Nazran(home) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Spartak Nalchik(away) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Izberbash(home) | 5-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Dynamo Makhachkala II(away) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Angust Nazran(away) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Astrakhan(home) | 3-4 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pobeda(away) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nart Cherkessk(home) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Druzhba(away) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rostov II win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Sevastopol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Sevastopol 2-1 Rostov II | Second League - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Sevastopol 1-0 Rostov II | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Rostov II 0-1 Sevastopol | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Rostov II 0-0 Sevastopol | Second League - Group 1 |
| May 24, 2025 | Sevastopol 2-2 Rostov II | Second League - Group 1 |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Sevastopol 0-2 Rostov II | Second League - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Sevastopol vs Rostov II on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rostov II score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sevastopol score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rostov II | 2.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Sevastopol | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rostov II sit 3rd in Second League - Group 1 (40 points from 19 matches) and Sevastopol sit 2nd (45 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sevastopol | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 37 | 18 | 45 |
| 3 | Rostov II | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 16 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rostov II vs Sevastopol?
- The Footlab model makes Sevastopol the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Rostov II.
- Where and when is Rostov II vs Sevastopol played?
- Rostov II vs Sevastopol is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Second League - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.