Angust Nazran vs Astrakhan: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 1Group 1 - 25Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Central'nyj im. Rashida Ausheva, Nazran'
The Footlab model makes Astrakhan the favourite at 42%, against 33% for a draw and 25% for Angust Nazran. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Angust Nazran vs Astrakhan?
Astrakhan starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,660 vs 1,551).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Angust Nazran have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Astrakhan have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sevastopol(home) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rostov II(away) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Druzhba(home) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lugansk(home) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rubin Yalta(away) | 2-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rostov II(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sevastopol(away) | 4-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Mashuk-KMV(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Shahter Taganrog(away) | 1-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FK Chayka 2(home) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Angust Nazran win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Astrakhan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Astrakhan 0-1 Angust Nazran | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Astrakhan 1-0 Angust Nazran | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Astrakhan 0-0 Angust Nazran | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Angust Nazran 1-2 Astrakhan | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Astrakhan 0-1 Angust Nazran | Second League - Group 1 |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Angust Nazran 0-0 Astrakhan | Second League - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Astrakhan vs Angust Nazran on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Angust Nazran score 0.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Astrakhan score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angust Nazran | 0.4 | 1.2 | 6 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Astrakhan | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Angust Nazran sit 14th in Second League - Group 1 (16 points from 19 matches) and Astrakhan sit 10th (22 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Astrakhan | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 28 | 22 |
| 14 | Angust Nazran | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Angust Nazran vs Astrakhan?
- The Footlab model makes Astrakhan the favourite at 42%, against 33% for a draw and 25% for Angust Nazran.
- Where and when is Angust Nazran vs Astrakhan played?
- Angust Nazran vs Astrakhan is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Central'nyj im. Rashida Ausheva, in the Second League - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.