Lugansk vs PSK Dinskaya: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 1Group 1 - 25Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Lugansk the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for PSK Dinskaya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lugansk vs PSK Dinskaya?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Lugansk (1,603) and PSK Dinskaya (1,668).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugansk have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; PSK Dinskaya have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pobeda(away) | 0-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Spartak Nalchik(home) | 2-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Angust Nazran(away) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dynamo Makhachkala II(home) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Izberbash(away) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Astrakhan(home) | 1-4 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Druzhba(away) | 0-4 | Second League - Group 1 |
| May 30, 2026 | Nart Cherkessk(home) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Rubin Yalta(home) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Sevastopol(away) | 2-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Lugansk win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 PSK Dinskaya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | PSK Dinskaya 3-1 Lugansk | Second League - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: PSK Dinskaya vs Lugansk on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lugansk score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; PSK Dinskaya score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugansk | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| PSK Dinskaya | 1.4 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lugansk sit 11th in Second League - Group 1 (20 points from 20 matches) and PSK Dinskaya sit 13th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lugansk | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 32 | 20 |
| 13 | PSK Dinskaya | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 17 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lugansk vs PSK Dinskaya?
- The Footlab model makes Lugansk the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for PSK Dinskaya.
- Where and when is Lugansk vs PSK Dinskaya played?
- Lugansk vs PSK Dinskaya is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Second League - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.