Faetano vs Tre Fiori: prediction and stats
CampionatoRegular Season - 2Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC)Campo Faetano, Faetano
The Footlab model makes Tre Fiori the favourite at 80%, against 15% for a draw and 6% for Faetano. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Faetano vs Tre Fiori?
Tre Fiori is a heavy favourite: 1,393 Elo points against 959 — a 434-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Faetano have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Tre Fiori have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cosmos(away) | 0-2 | Campionato |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Tre Fiori(home) | 0-1 | Campionato |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Fiorentino(away) | 2-1 | Campionato |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Domagnano(home) | 0-1 | Campionato |
| Mar 21, 2026 | San Giovanni(away) | 0-2 | Campionato |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Drita(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Drita(home) | 1-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Forli(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Larne(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Larne(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Faetano win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Tre Fiori win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Faetano 0-1 Tre Fiori | Campionato |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Tre Fiori 3-0 Faetano | Campionato |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Faetano 1-3 Tre Fiori | Campionato |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Tre Fiori 2-1 Faetano | Campionato |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Tre Fiori 4-2 Faetano | Campionato |
| Oct 26, 2023 | Tre Fiori 0-0 Faetano | Coppa Titano |
How many goals should we expect?
Faetano score 0.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tre Fiori score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Faetano | 0.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Tre Fiori | 1.3 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Faetano sit 13th in Campionato (22 points from 30 matches) and Tre Fiori sit 1st (73 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 63 | 13 | 73 |
| 13 | Faetano | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 22 | 55 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Faetano vs Tre Fiori?
- The Footlab model makes Tre Fiori the favourite at 80%, against 15% for a draw and 6% for Faetano.
- Where and when is Faetano vs Tre Fiori played?
- Faetano vs Tre Fiori is played on September 4, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC) at Campo Faetano, in the Campionato.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.