Libertas vs Juvenes / Dogana: prediction and stats
CampionatoRegular Season - 2Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo di Borgo Maggiore, Borgo Maggiore
The Footlab model makes Juvenes / Dogana the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Libertas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Libertas vs Juvenes / Dogana?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Libertas (1,037) and Juvenes / Dogana (1,123).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Libertas have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Juvenes / Dogana have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Juvenes / Dogana(away) | 1-1 | Campionato |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Virtus(home) | 0-9 | Campionato |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Tre Penne(home) | 1-3 | Campionato |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Tre Fiori(away) | 0-3 | Campionato |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Juvenes / Dogana(home) | 1-0 | Campionato |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Virtus(home) | 0-2 | Campionato |
| May 3, 2026 | Virtus(away) | 0-0 | Campionato |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Libertas(home) | 1-1 | Campionato |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Murata(home) | 5-2 | Campionato |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Pennarossa(away) | 0-0 | Campionato |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Libertas win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Juvenes / Dogana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Juvenes / Dogana 1-1 Libertas | Campionato |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Libertas 1-0 Juvenes / Dogana | Campionato |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Juvenes / Dogana 0-1 Libertas | Campionato |
| Jan 21, 2025 | Libertas 0-1 Juvenes / Dogana | Campionato |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Juvenes / Dogana 1-1 Libertas | Campionato |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Juvenes / Dogana 4-1 Libertas | Campionato |
Last archived meeting: Juvenes / Dogana vs Libertas on Apr 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Libertas score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Juvenes / Dogana score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertas | 1.3 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Juvenes / Dogana | 0.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Libertas sit 10th in Campionato (35 points from 30 matches) and Juvenes / Dogana sit 9th (37 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Juvenes / Dogana | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 38 | 37 |
| 10 | Libertas | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 63 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Libertas vs Juvenes / Dogana?
- The Footlab model makes Juvenes / Dogana the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Libertas.
- Where and when is Libertas vs Juvenes / Dogana played?
- Libertas vs Juvenes / Dogana is played on September 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo di Borgo Maggiore, in the Campionato.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.