Pennarossa vs Murata: prediction and stats
CampionatoRegular Season - 2Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo di Chiesanuova, Chiesanuova
The Footlab model makes Pennarossa the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Murata. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pennarossa vs Murata?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Pennarossa (959) and Murata (912).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pennarossa have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Murata have 0, 0 and 15.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Cosmos(away) | 0-3 | Campionato |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tre Fiori(away) | 1-1 | Campionato |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Juvenes / Dogana(home) | 0-0 | Campionato |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cosmos(away) | 1-0 | Campionato |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Cailungo(away) | 2-1 | Campionato |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Juvenes / Dogana(away) | 2-5 | Campionato |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Fiorentino(home) | 1-4 | Campionato |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Virtus(away) | 1-4 | Campionato |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Tre Fiori(home) | 0-3 | Campionato |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Pennarossa(away) | 0-2 | Campionato |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Pennarossa win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Murata win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Pennarossa 2-0 Murata | Campionato |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Murata 1-2 Pennarossa | Campionato |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Pennarossa 0-4 Murata | Campionato |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Murata 3-0 Pennarossa | Campionato |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Pennarossa 0-3 Murata | Campionato |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Murata 5-0 Pennarossa | Campionato |
How many goals should we expect?
Pennarossa score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Murata score 0.7 and concede 3.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pennarossa | 0.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Murata | 0.7 | 3.4 | 0 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pennarossa sit 11th in Campionato (32 points from 30 matches) and Murata sit 16th (-2 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pennarossa | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29 | 53 | 32 |
| 16 | Murata | 30 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 20 | 83 | -2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pennarossa vs Murata?
- The Footlab model makes Pennarossa the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Murata.
- Where and when is Pennarossa vs Murata played?
- Pennarossa vs Murata is played on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo di Chiesanuova, in the Campionato.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.