Fiorentino vs Virtus: prediction and stats
CampionatoRegular Season - 2Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo di Fiorentino Federico Crescentini, Fiorentino
The Footlab model makes Virtus the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Fiorentino. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fiorentino vs Virtus?
Virtus is a heavy favourite: 1,489 Elo points against 1,138 — a 351-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fiorentino have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Virtus have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | La Fiorita(home) | 3-2 | Campionato |
| May 2, 2026 | La Fiorita(away) | 0-1 | Campionato |
| Apr 25, 2026 | La Fiorita(home) | 1-2 | Campionato |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Murata(away) | 4-1 | Campionato |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Faetano(home) | 1-2 | Campionato |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | Dila(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Dila(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| May 16, 2026 | La Fiorita(home) | 2-1 | Campionato |
| May 12, 2026 | Domagnano(away) | 1-2 | Campionato |
| May 9, 2026 | Domagnano(home) | 2-1 | Campionato |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Fiorentino win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Virtus win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Virtus 3-0 Fiorentino | Campionato |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Fiorentino 0-4 Virtus | Campionato |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Virtus 2-0 Fiorentino | Campionato |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Fiorentino 0-4 Virtus | Campionato |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Fiorentino 3-1 Virtus | Campionato |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Virtus 4-0 Fiorentino | Campionato |
How many goals should we expect?
Fiorentino score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Virtus score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentino | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Virtus | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fiorentino sit 7th in Campionato (46 points from 30 matches) and Virtus sit 2nd (72 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Virtus | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 76 | 20 | 72 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 37 | 42 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fiorentino vs Virtus?
- The Footlab model makes Virtus the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Fiorentino.
- Where and when is Fiorentino vs Virtus played?
- Fiorentino vs Virtus is played on September 4, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo di Fiorentino Federico Crescentini, in the Campionato.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.