La Fiorita vs San Marino Academy: prediction and stats
CampionatoRegular Season - 2Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Igor Crescentini, Montegiardino
The Footlab model makes La Fiorita the favourite at 79%, against 15% for a draw and 6% for San Marino Academy. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win La Fiorita vs San Marino Academy?
La Fiorita is a heavy favourite: 1,418 Elo points against 945, a 473-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, La Fiorita have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; San Marino Academy have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2026 | UNA Strassen(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 7, 2026 | UNA Strassen(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| May 23, 2026 | Tre Fiori(away) | 3-1 | Coppa Titano |
| May 16, 2026 | Virtus(away) | 1-2 | Campionato |
| May 12, 2026 | Tre Penne(away) | 1-0 | Campionato |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Cailungo(home) | 1-1 | Campionato |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Folgore(away) | 0-3 | Campionato |
| Apr 11, 2026 | San Giovanni(away) | 0-1 | Campionato |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Fiorentino(home) | 0-3 | Campionato |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Juvenes / Dogana(away) | 0-0 | Campionato |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 La Fiorita win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 San Marino Academy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | La Fiorita 2-0 San Marino Academy | Campionato |
| Sep 12, 2025 | San Marino Academy 0-5 La Fiorita | Campionato |
| Mar 29, 2025 | La Fiorita 4-1 San Marino Academy | Campionato |
| Nov 30, 2024 | San Marino Academy 0-3 La Fiorita | Campionato |
| Mar 16, 2024 | San Marino Academy 0-3 La Fiorita | Campionato |
| Dec 9, 2023 | La Fiorita 3-1 San Marino Academy | Campionato |
Last archived meeting: La Fiorita vs San Marino Academy on Jan 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
La Fiorita score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; San Marino Academy score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Fiorita | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| San Marino Academy | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
La Fiorita sit 4th in Campionato (57 points from 30 matches) and San Marino Academy sit 14th (16 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | La Fiorita | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 64 | 25 | 57 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 23 | 60 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for La Fiorita vs San Marino Academy?
- The Footlab model makes La Fiorita the favourite at 79%, against 15% for a draw and 6% for San Marino Academy.
- Where and when is La Fiorita vs San Marino Academy played?
- La Fiorita vs San Marino Academy is played on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Igor Crescentini, in the Campionato.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.