Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)City Light Stadium, Okayama
The Footlab model makes Fagiano Okayama the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Vissel Kobe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe?
Vissel Kobe starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (2,042 vs 1,935).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fagiano Okayama have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Vissel Kobe have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(home) | 0-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(home) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cerezo Osaka(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Schalke 04(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Werder Bremen(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Tokyo(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Imabari(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Consadole Sapporo(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Fagiano Okayama win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Vissel Kobe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Vissel Kobe 0-3 Fagiano Okayama | J1 League |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Fagiano Okayama 1-4 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Fagiano Okayama 1-2 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| May 3, 2025 | Vissel Kobe 2-0 Fagiano Okayama | J1 League |
| Jul 3, 2013 | Fagiano Okayama 1-0 Vissel Kobe | J2 League |
| Apr 28, 2013 | Vissel Kobe 3-3 Fagiano Okayama | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: Vissel Kobe vs Fagiano Okayama on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fagiano Okayama score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Vissel Kobe score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fagiano Okayama | 1.3 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Vissel Kobe | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fagiano Okayama sit 9th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Vissel Kobe sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Vissel Kobe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe?
- The Footlab model makes Fagiano Okayama the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Vissel Kobe.
- Where and when is Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe played?
- Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe is played on October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at City Light Stadium, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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