Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)K’s Denki Stadium, Mito
The Footlab model makes Urawa the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Mito Hollyhock. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa?
Urawa starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,930 vs 1,829).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mito Hollyhock have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Urawa have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(away) | 3-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| May 30, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Machida Zelvia(away) | 1-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home) | 1-4 | J1 League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(away) | 3-4 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Omiya Ardija(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | FC Ryukyu(away) | 4-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Mito Hollyhock win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Urawa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock 1-4 Urawa | J1 League |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Urawa 2-0 Mito Hollyhock | J1 League |
| Aug 14, 2019 | Urawa 2-1 Mito Hollyhock | Emperor Cup |
Last archived meeting: Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mito Hollyhock score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Urawa score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mito Hollyhock | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Urawa | 1.5 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mito Hollyhock sit 7th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Urawa sit 19th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mito Hollyhock | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 19 | Urawa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa?
- The Footlab model makes Urawa the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Mito Hollyhock.
- Where and when is Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa played?
- Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa is played on October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at K’s Denki Stadium, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 17, 2026Sanfrecce HiroshimavsKyoto Sanga
- Oct 17, 2026Shimizu S-pulsevsGamba Osaka
- Oct 17, 2026KashimavsV-varen Nagasaki
- Oct 17, 2026Cerezo OsakavsKawasaki Frontale
- Oct 17, 2026JEF United ChibavsYokohama F. Marinos
- Oct 17, 2026Machida ZelviavsAvispa Fukuoka
- Oct 17, 2026Tokyo VerdyvsFC Tokyo