Match

Fakenham Town vs Wroxham: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Clipbush Park, Fakenham, Norfolk

Fakenham TownWroxham

The Footlab model makes Fakenham Town the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Wroxham. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fakenham Town vs Wroxham?

A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Fakenham Town (1,631) and Wroxham (1,683).

Fakenham Town win39 %
Draw26 %
Wroxham win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fakenham Town have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Wroxham have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fakenham Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 5, 2025Wroxham(away)0-2FA Cup
Aug 2, 2025Wroxham(home)1-1FA Cup
Aug 3, 2024Cornard United(away)0-3FA Cup
Sep 2, 2023AFC Hornchurch(away)0-5FA Cup
Aug 19, 2023AFC Rushden & Diamonds(home)1-0FA Cup
Wroxham
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Takeley(away)0-2Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Apr 18, 2026Heybridge Swifts(home)2-0Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Apr 11, 2026Waltham Abbey(away)0-3Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Apr 6, 2026Gorleston(home)1-0Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Apr 4, 2026Brantham Athletic(away)2-0Non League Div One - Isthmian North

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Fakenham Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Wroxham win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 5, 2025Wroxham 2-0 Fakenham TownFA Cup
Aug 2, 2025Fakenham Town 1-1 WroxhamFA Cup
Aug 29, 2015Wroxham 3-2 Fakenham TownFA Cup

Last archived meeting: Wroxham vs Fakenham Town on Aug 5, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Fakenham Town score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Wroxham score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fakenham Town1.11.645/158/15
Wroxham0.91.172/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fakenham Town vs Wroxham?
The Footlab model makes Fakenham Town the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Wroxham.
Where and when is Fakenham Town vs Wroxham played?
Fakenham Town vs Wroxham is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Clipbush Park, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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