Match

ADT vs Cienciano: prediction and stats

Primera DivisiónClausura - 9Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)

ADTCienciano

The Footlab model makes Cienciano the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for ADT. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win ADT vs Cienciano?

Cienciano starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,743 vs 1,599).

ADT win36 %
Draw26 %
Cienciano win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ADT have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Cienciano have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

ADT
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Juan Pablo II College(away)1-5Primera División
Aug 15, 2026Alianza Atletico(home)1-1Primera División
Aug 8, 2026UTC Cajamarca(away)1-1Primera División
Aug 2, 2026Deportivo Garcilaso(home)0-1Primera División
Jul 25, 2026Sport Boys(away)0-2Primera División
Cienciano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Sport Boys(away)1-5Primera División
Aug 21, 2026Botafogo(away)0-1CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Aug 16, 2026Deportivo Garcilaso(home)0-0Primera División
Aug 14, 2026Botafogo(home)6-1CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Aug 6, 2026Alianza Atletico(away)0-1Primera División

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 ADT win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Cienciano win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 3, 2026Cienciano 3-2 ADTPrimera División
Jul 19, 2025ADT 1-0 CiencianoPrimera División
Mar 5, 2025ADT 1-1 CiencianoCONMEBOL Sudamericana
Feb 9, 2025Cienciano 2-2 ADTPrimera División
Jul 21, 2024Cienciano 0-1 ADTPrimera División
Feb 3, 2024ADT 1-1 CiencianoPrimera División

Last archived meeting: Cienciano vs ADT on Apr 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

ADT score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cienciano score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
ADT1.21.348/157/15
Cienciano1.61.347/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

ADT sit 10th in Primera División (20 points from 17 matches) and Cienciano sit 3rd (33 points from 17 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Cienciano171034342233
3Cienciano171034342233
6Cienciano231148383337
10ADT17557222120
10ADT17557222120
16Cienciano4103363
16Cienciano61144114
16ADT235711263322
18ADT4013261
18ADT60244122

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for ADT vs Cienciano?
The Footlab model makes Cienciano the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for ADT.
Where and when is ADT vs Cienciano played?
ADT vs Cienciano is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: ADT and Cienciano

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